204. Base Rate Fallacy: Statistical Fallacies Miniseries #5

Season #1 Episode #204 January 29, 2024

People use numbers to convince, persuade, and even sometimes to manipulate or fool others. This mini-series will help you recognize them!

When you can recognize the foolishness, you won't get fooled by it!

Want to test yourself on how well you can recognize fallacies in real life? Take the Meme Fallacy Quiz! www.filteritthroughabraincell.com/quiz

Learn more about Crazy Thinkers: www.filteritthroughabraincell.com/crazy

Here's how you can purchase the Logical Fallacies ebook: https://www.filteritthroughabraincell.com/offers/z6xbAcB2

Send me any questions, comments or even the fallacies you're seeing around you! [email protected]

Or, tag me on Instagram: @filteritthroughabraincell

To take the YouScience Talent Assessment:

Website: https://www.wellspentsolutions.com/discoverregistration

Get 20% off with discount code FILTERIT20

Thank you to our sponsor, CTC Math!

Website: https://www.ctcmath.com/?tr_id=brain

Homeschool page: https://www.ctcmath.com/how-it-works/home-school?tr_id=brain

Free trail: https://www.ctcmath.com/trial?tr_id=brain

Special offer! Get 1/2-off discounts plus bonus 6-months free!

https://www.ctcmath.com/purchase/homeschool50?tr_id=BRAIN

Episode Transcript

Hey what’s up Thinkers! Kathy Gibbens here…

Let’s start off by reviewing a fallacy we covered earlier this season, the Fallacy of Ignoring a Common Cause. Do you want to hit pause real quick and see if you can remember what the Fallacy of Ignoring a Common Cause Fallacy is? So, the Fallacy of Ignoring a Common Cause happens when someone thinks that one thing causes another thing just because those two things are often connected. They don’t stop to consider that there could be something else causing that particular outcome.

The question to ask yourself to avoid the Fallacy of Ignoring a Common Cause is this: “Could there be a third source that’s causing both of these issues?”

If you want to review or hear more about this fallacy, go back & check out Episode 144.

And, I know we’ve gotten a lot of new listeners recently, and I just want to encourage you if you’re new to the podcast, to go back and start listening from the beginning of the season. This podcast kind of builds on itself and you’ll definitely get more out of it if you listen through in order.

Do you need a clear, easy-to-follow math tutorial for your kids? Check out our sponsor, CTC Math. CTC Math offers video tutorials and it’s sort of like having a personal teacher. These tutorials ensure your kids grasp the key concepts before they get to practice. If you’re interested in learning more, visit ctcmath.com and make math learning enjoyable and effective!

Alright, today we’re continuing our series on Statistical Fallacies with the part #5, the Base Rate Fallacy.

Question to ask yourself: “Is it really true that… *repeat*

Remember: When you learn HOW to think, you will no longer fall prey to those who are trying to tell you what THEY want you to think and it all starts with asking one simple question: “Is that really true?”

204. Base Rate Fallacy: Statistical Fallacies Miniseries #5

Get notified about all the things!